How is Walmart Doing After Its Dismal Feb Earnings


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  • Walmart dropped close to $18 since it reported a weak set of earnings in Feb. Share price had since plunged almost 17% since then.
    • Revenue was higher but a missed on profits ; lower e-commerce growth than expected and a lower 2018 guidance saw Walmart took a beating.
    • Reason could be more due to the heighten valuation rather than the result as result was actually fairly inline. Prior earnings WMT valuation was at  24p/e X multiples which does seems very expensive as compared to other annual earnings
Forawrd p/e currently at 16.63 while current P/E 17.65 have traded nearer back to its 2017 average levels. [See Chart with P/E ]
  • On valuation, the risk on Walmart is that it is more expensive than many of its retail competitor while it struggles against e-commerce giant Amazon [See Peers valuation]
  • Bloomberg consensus rating of 3.78, 15 buys and 22 holds and 0 sell with 12M target PX of $105.31
  • Current price at possible technical support with the RSI and MACD showing slight indication of bullishness. Price also currently sits at the Trend line support + Fib61.8 retracement
    • Break of the trendline would see $81.73 as the next support level.

Personal take : Worth a shortlist for sure and could even take a small positioning at current price due to technical chart. But any further detertoration of price would points to a very attractive valuation and definitely worth relooking at.
Historical Annual Earnings Release with Price Change.


Chart with P/E

  • cid:img_5AAB8AFC02DD0740011D00E7_1@bloomberg.net

Price Chart

Peers valuation

cid:img_5AAB8FF8017A0604011D00C3_2@bloomberg.net


Comments

  1. Walmart has been good for India over the past decade. We continue to support domestic manufacturing in India by sourcing 95% of Best Price merchandise locally from SME suppliers, small farmers, and women-owned businesses.

    Regards,
    cherryjoy
    MMF Solutions

    ReplyDelete

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