Singapore Wyckoff & Volume Spread Analysis

Emailed my clients about UE breakout trade on Thursday. Image is chart on Thursday. I did not tell my clients much as most of them are non-TA practioners. Price has now up by 8 cents. How far up will it go? $2.80 and recapture new high? Why not? 100 years special dividend incoming? Perhaps... However, most peole who follow my blog know that I am not a breakout trader, but seeing the strength behind UE... I thought it is reasonable to still have some upside.

 Very nice setup. Note to self : A very nice application on trending stock near the slant trend line.

In summary, from MW report summary :   Initiating Coverage on Olam International – Strong Sell Published: November 26, 2012 Muddy Waters rates Olam International (SGX:O32; OTC:OLMIY/OLMIF) shares a Strong Sell. In this latest report Muddy Waters highlights how: Olam runs a high risk of failure. Its “asset heavy” strategy appears to be an off-the-rails CapEx and acquisition binge. Management talks about the “gestation” of these projects, but our research makes clear that they are marred by incompetence and perhaps significant misconduct. The vast majority of the acquisitions we have researched are of low quality assets that appear to bring little more than cosmetic benefits to Olam. In short, these projects are “pie in the sky” that we strongly believe are destroying substantial amounts of capital. Bond holders in particular should be asking where their money goes (and how they will get it back). Olam has spent S$571.0 million less on acquisitions than announced. However...

Below is a forwarded email for my clients on mDR......  RE  :mDR joint venture in Myanmar 2 & SINGTEL's possible licensing in Myanmar Gathered more informations on the Myanmar Golden Star Group, which owns GMS. As quoted below... "The JVC will also provide exclusive consultancy and retail franchisee procurement services to Myanmar-based Golden Myanmar Sea Co. Limited (“GMS Co. Ltd”), which will be involved in the mobile devices and accessories distribution and retail businesses. GMS Co. Ltd is owned by the Myanmar Golden Star Group in Myanmar, an established business conglomerate involved in diverse businesses in Myanmar such as food, alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, financial and medical services, farming, agricultural and natural resources, aviation, and consumer electronics trading and distribution." A huge conglomerate with diversified businessess. http://www.mgsgroup.net/   -> (group website) MORE IMPORTANTLY.... Below is quoted from t...

Additional commment : Immediate resistance will be at $3.20, forget to add the line in. Just to add on, notice the behaviour of the upper slant trend line when Wilmar is trading close to it...we always see major signs of weakness...

HoBee momentum continues, very strong infact. I feel that breaking 1.6 should be of no problem. The question is when it will break the $1.70. As long as macro outlook stabilies, HoBee could move to higher high and break the $1.60 resistances that is currently facing now. Too many good signals in the last 20 trading days. Until I see weakness in the setup, investors that has Hobee should continue to ride it. Broke 1.62 convincingly and BB just ate 527 lots at 1.62. 29/11/2012

Thoughts on YHM : Before the day of announcement which is scheduled tomorrow. YHM share prices took a massive hit. Definitely, the move is unfavourable for the existing shareholders. Buying at a hefty premium price of 0.04++ while ezion is getting lesser than 0.002. But, this is how the stock market reacts. Herders chase and Chng Kay is always the one operating behind it. Good job on YHM BB, well done.

Short term bullishness but long term weakness.

Update on 26 November 1.07am : There are many other counters that I am currently watching, these are just 6 of them I am analysing. In order of confident, Yoma, STX OSV, Genting HK, TigerAir, IEV then Cordlife.  Other counters that are worth monitoring are, Ausgroup, Ezion, Aspial and Amtek.

A pity that a friend from facebook exited his long position @ 1.03. I thought this was a very strong set-up in the first place that has really good risk to reward ratio. He exited after the result from Bumi. Lesson learnt? Never look at news. Charts tell you everything. Next, on SembCorp, it does show some kind of weakness on Friday. I blogged about it a few days ago that I do not like its high volume down bar.

volume was higher at the test like bar. If volume was lower, than i will be more comfortable. I am still more negative biased due to 21st November high volume bar. While it closes at high today. My take is due to the thanksgiving day probably SM wouldnt see US disturbing a 1-2 days mini-rally. MY TAKE IS STILL A NEGATIVE CALL UNTIL LOWER VOLUME WAS WITNESSED AT THE PREVIOUS TEST BAR.

Just sharing one stock that could be in accumulation mode. Please seek your advice from your FA/Broker/Remiser before placing any trades. I will not bear resposbility for any of my postings.

Taking a break from posting as market is too too too boring to worth the time monitoring the stocks. I only monitor around 50 over ++ counters everyday, they are usually comrprises of those top volumer ( above 20cents), some mid caps and a few STI components. From a daily chart perspective, you might want to change to a weekly perspective from now on as I think it could probably give you a more accurate picture for now. Personally, I feel that the market should be trending lower in the future.  Till I see some "trigger actions" in the market, I will then continue to start posting again. If you have a CFD account, perhaps this is the time to utilize them very soon ;) Meanwhile, if you are keen on picking up some new technical chart skills, do go to  http://harmonicforex.com and give it a try on harmonic trading for FX. I will end off with some chart posts on STI.

Gallant has been range trading for quite the past 1 year.... I feel that a good risk to reward ratio is present in current Gallant's share prices. Disclaimer :  This is not a buy/sell call

Good evening all, Recently, due to Sembcorp Marine dismal result, Sembcorp industrial price took a heavy hit. Sembcorp owns about 60% of SembMarine shares. Revenues wise, SembMar contributes roughly about 40+ percent of their revenue to SembCorp. Price of SembCorp has fallen more than 7% since the release of Sembcorp Marine result. From 5.40 to around 5.00 at the moment. Today, SembCorp Industrial closes strong at $5.04. The last 3 days, we have seen very heavy volume on SembCorp Industrial, especially on Tuesday and Wednesday. Please see chart for detailed explanation. Looking at how SembCorp Ind behaves for the past few days.... Potential scenarios : If Semb Corp financial result is gd + Macro condition is viable for a technical rebound..... If Everything is chui....

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Good evening all, This post is just educational and I hope to be able to do more back testing with regards to this kind of setup. Do inform me if you see more setup like these.. =p I will call this setup advance stopping volume. As this is the only example that I came across so far. I hope to back test more of these patterns in the future. I will following closely on Ausgroup and I witness the low volume bar. As mentioned below, it seems to me like a no supply bar to me, but, because of the low volume accumulation/down move on the previous bars, I was not convinced by the no supply bar. Nonetheless, keep watch, keep trading. @11Nov 6pm Happy Deepvali and happy holiday to all readers, An update on Ausgroup, Since i last blogged on Ausgroup, we witness a test bar/no supply bar again @ 8Nov2012. The test bar clearly tested positively that there is very little supply on the bar on 6th Nov. On 9 Nov, next bar showed decent strength as it closes higher than the test/no sup...